Democrat VP Betting: Which woman will Biden pick?
This article first appeared on 10th April 2020 at betting.betfair.com Now Bernie Sanders has suspended his presidential campaign, the way is clear for Joe Biden to secure the Democratic Nomination....
View ArticleWho Should We Follow in 2020 – Polls or Betting Markets?
This article first appeared on 16th April 2020 at gamblerspick.com Not so long ago – four years to be precise – there was a growing belief that betting markets offered the best guide for predicting...
View ArticleUS Election: Four worrying signals for Donald Trump
This piece first appeared on 18th April 2020 at betting.betfair.com Bad polling position seems to be worsening Across the world, incumbent governments have received a boost during the coronavirus...
View ArticleExtensive Interview For “The Political Trade” Podcast
Earlier this week, I enjoyed a long conversation with Jeff Joseph and Mike Reddy for “The Political Trade” – the podcast associated with Luckbox magazine. Our wide-ranging discussion involved the...
View ArticleUS Election: If not Trump versus Biden, then whom?
This article first appeared at betting.betfair.com on 27th April 2020 You may think, based on the nomination process, historic precedent and virtually all mainstream media coverage, that November’s...
View ArticleDemocrat VP Betting – My Latest Top-Ten Rankings
This article first appeared at Betfair Australia’s The Hub, on 28th April 2020 Given that the Democrat convention has been pushed forward until at least August due to coronavirus, Joe Biden still has...
View ArticleThe Electoral Map Looks Bad For Trump – Here’s How To Play It
This article first appeared at gamblerspick.com on 5th May 2020 Last time, I discussed the mismatch between signals emerging from polls and betting markets towards November’s US Election and the...
View ArticleTrump Needs a Strong Third Party Challenge But Will He Get It?
This article first appeared at betting.betfair.com on 6th May 2020 Polling signals for November’s election remain remarkably consistent, in line with trends during the Trump era. They do not make good...
View ArticleWill Trump’s Scandals Finally Catch Up With Him?
This article first appeared at betting.betfair.com on 12th May 2020 The betting for Next President remains strangely stable, with Donald Trump available to back at [2.1] and Joe Biden at [2.34]. This...
View ArticleFive Narratives That Could Determine the Election
This article first appeared at gamblerspick.com on 19th May 2020 Both the polls and betting odds are remarkably stable. According to the Betfair Exchange, Donald Trump has a 48% chance of re-election...
View ArticlePolls Make Grim Reading For Trump and Republicans
This article first appeared at betting.betfair on 21st May 2020 Trump still favourite despite bad polls The presidential election betting continues to defy the polling trends. Donald Trump remains...
View ArticleBetfair Masterclass Series: How to Predict Elections
This piece first appeared at betting.betfair.com on 26th May 2020 Arguably no set of markets have grown more in the past decade than those related to politics. From being a niche pastime, that spiked...
View ArticleJoe Biden surges to odds-on favouritism
This article first appeared at betting.betfair.com on 3rd June 2020 After several days of protest at police brutality and racism, bettors are delivering a clear verdict on Donald Trump’s crisis...
View ArticleBetfair Masterclass Series Part 2: Tips and Strategies to Bet on Politics
This article first appeared at betting.betfair.com on May 27th 2020 Don’t re-fight the previous election In the previous political betting masterclass, I focused on election betting and mentioned how...
View ArticleTrump’s Authoritarianism and Divisive Tactics Are a Gift to Biden
This article first appeared at gamblerspick.com on 7th July 2020 My last piece explored five narratives that could determine the US election. We must now add a sixth, that might well supercede them....
View ArticleDemocrat VP Update: Val Demings is Biden’s Perfect Running Mate
This article first appeared at betting.betfair.com on 9th June 2020 A great deal has happened since I last previewed the Democratic VP Nomination market. We can only speculate how events are shaping...
View ArticleExtensive Interview on the 2020 US Election With Betfair Australia
Last month, I conducted a lengthy interview with James McLoughlin from Betfair Australia. Split into four parts, we discuss my career and approach to betting – whether that be sports or politics; many...
View ArticleTrump toxicity could see Republicans Swept away By Another Blue Wave
This article first appeared at casino.org on 18th June 2020 If polls are to be believed, Donald Trump is heading for a massive defeat in November. Furthermore, it increasingly seems the effect of his...
View ArticleAn Avalance of Scandal Could Bury Trump
This article first appeared at gamblerspick.com on 22nd June 2020 The 2016 election produced unprecedented drama. Trump’s takeover of the Republican Party. Clinton’s e-mail scandal. Both parties...
View ArticleBiden Moves Clearly Ahead Across All Indicators
This article first appeared at betting.betfair.com on June 25th 2020 What may ultimately prove to be the biggest political gamble of all-time may be underway. Joe Biden just hit his lowest odds yet to...
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